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	<title>World Political Blog &#187; Nuclear</title>
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	<link>http://worldpoliticalblog.com</link>
	<description>World Political Blog</description>
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	<language>en</language>
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		<title>US proposes a huge amount of arms for Saudi Arabia, to counteract the growing power of Iran</title>
		<link>http://worldpoliticalblog.com/2010/09/18/us-proposes-a-huge-amount-of-arms-for-saudi-arabia-to-counteract-the-growing-power-of-iran/</link>
		<comments>http://worldpoliticalblog.com/2010/09/18/us-proposes-a-huge-amount-of-arms-for-saudi-arabia-to-counteract-the-growing-power-of-iran/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 18 Sep 2010 20:37:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ashish</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Iran]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Israel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Military]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Missile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nuclear]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Saudi Arabia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Arms]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Defense]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Encirclement]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[F15]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fighter Aircraft]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Helicopters]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nuclear Weapons]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United States]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Weapons]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://worldpoliticalblog.com/?p=273</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The United States is proposing a huge sale of weapons to Saudi Arabia. This is a sale that is worth around $60 billion, and primarily comprises of new F-15 fighter aircraft, military helicopters (both attack and troop transport helicopters). These are meant to increase the firepower of the Saudi Arabian forces, and also replace the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The United States is proposing a huge sale of weapons to Saudi Arabia. This is a sale that is worth around $60 billion, and primarily comprises of new F-15 fighter aircraft, military helicopters (both attack and troop transport helicopters). These are meant to increase the firepower of the Saudi Arabian forces, and also replace the older fighters in the Saudi arsenal. Saudi Arabia remains a strategic ally of the United States in the region, and given the problems both these countries have with Iran, this sale is meant to also convey a message to Iran. There is a long standing confrontation between Iran and Saudi Arabia (and several other Gulf states that are on the side of the Saudis). Iran is a leader of the Shias, while almost every country in the region is ruled by Sunnis. Further, Iran is ruled by a theocracy, while other countries are ruled by monarchies, or by a chosen few; and none of them would like to see an increase in the influence of the militant Islam in their countries (which will threaten the current rulers).<br />
The strategy seemingly being followed by the United States along with the Gulf countries is to increase the military might of each of these countries, both in terms of offense and defense (with increased counter-missile technologies). This is meant to convey to Iran that even though it would gain some strategic increase through its nuclear program, it will have to face more powerful military neighbors, all of which are tied together with the United States, and even more surprisingly, with Israel. In the face of a common enemy such as Iran, even Israel and the Gulf states such as Saudi Arabia, and Kuwait will make common cause.<br />
The deal is currently making its way through the United States Congress, but there is very little chance that the deal will get stopped; the strategic imperative in such cases is very high and the push to make this deal through all approvals is very high. One can expect that in some time, these arms will start to make their way into the Saudi Arabian arsenal.</p>
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		<title>Iran nuclear issue: Inspection by the UN of the new complex</title>
		<link>http://worldpoliticalblog.com/2009/10/04/iran-nuclear-issue-inspection-by-the-un-of-the-new-complex/</link>
		<comments>http://worldpoliticalblog.com/2009/10/04/iran-nuclear-issue-inspection-by-the-un-of-the-new-complex/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 04 Oct 2009 14:14:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ashish</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Iran]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Israel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Military]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nuclear]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Spy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tension]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Discussion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Enrichment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IAEA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Program]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Secret]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Talks]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://worldpoliticalblog.com/?p=234</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The most complex problem in international politics today is with respect to Iran. And in this, the situation is not even about the recent elections, or the divided political powers in Iran; it is about the Iranian nuclear program. Iran has consistently maintained that it has a peaceful nuclear program, and this is allowed by [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The most complex problem in international politics today is with respect to Iran. And in this, the situation is not even about the recent elections, or the divided political powers in Iran; it is about the Iranian nuclear program. Iran has consistently maintained that it has a peaceful nuclear program, and this is allowed by the NPT and by the safe-guards under it. Most of the world believes that this is a cover, and the real intention of the Iranians is to bluster and negotiate while moving to a real nuclear weapons capability. Further complicating details is that the nuclear program is a nationalistic program in Iran, which sees the Israelis as having a very powerful local presence, based on their nuclear devices. In addition, there are 2 more nuclear capable states in the locality &#8211; India and Pakistan. All 3 nuclear states have got off pretty easily, and so has North Korea, and so Iran feels that it can build one. The Iranian nuclear program is under the control of the Supreme Leader, the cleric Ayatollah Khameini, and also under the control of the conservative President, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.<br />
For many years now, there has been a concerted effort by the western powers, France, Britain, Germany, and the US about how to control and rollback the Iranian effort, but going the sanctions route with the UN Security Council supporting the sanctions is not easy, since Russia and China both have stakes in Iran, and are resisting efforts to have tougher sanctions.</p>
<p><span id="more-234"></span><br />
There are also a lot of games being played in the background, with the western countries having spy rings inside Iran, and one of these spy rings detected the presence of another Iranian secret nuclear enrichment facility near the holy city of Qom. This detection forced the Iranians to announce the presence of this nuclear facility in a letter to the IAEA, and there are complex legalities about whether having a secret facility like this was proper or not (Iran claimed that it only had to announce once it reached a certain stage of activity). This announcement however raised more suspicions about the motives of the Iranians, and whether there were more such facilities that were hidden in the country. The Western countries are also racing against another unstated deadline, possible Israeli activity. Israel sees Iran as a deadly enemy, and may act militarily to destroy the Iranian facilities, something that would dramatically escalate tensions. Other powers in the area, such as Saudi Arabia would also be uncomfortable if Iran went ahead and built a bomb <a href="http://edition.cnn.com/2009/WORLD/meast/10/04/iran.nuclear/index.html" target="_blank">(link to article)</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>
ElBaradei urged Iran to submit to more comprehensive inspections because its nuclear program is so advanced. &#8220;It would help the agency to have Iran subscribing again to our regulations that allow us to be informed of the construction of nuclear facilities as early as possible,&#8221; he said. He also pressed Iran to give the IAEA &#8220;the authority for more information, for access to more locations that would enable the agency to provide assurances not only about declared nuclear activity in Iran but also about possible undeclared activities.&#8221;<br />
Iran&#8217;s top nuclear negotiator Saeed Jalili met with William J. Burns, the U.S. undersecretary of state for political affairs, a senior U.S. official and a diplomatic source confirmed to CNN. The men discussed Iran&#8217;s nuclear program, a sit-down described as the first face-to-face meeting between the U.S. and Iran over the program. International powers want inspectors to have free access to Iran&#8217;s new facility and have threatened more sanctions if the Islamic republic doesn&#8217;t change its ways.
</p></blockquote>
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		<title>Nuclear issue over Iran &#8211; another attempt at dialogue</title>
		<link>http://worldpoliticalblog.com/2009/09/12/nuclear-issue-over-iran-another-attempt-at-dialogue/</link>
		<comments>http://worldpoliticalblog.com/2009/09/12/nuclear-issue-over-iran-another-attempt-at-dialogue/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 12 Sep 2009 10:11:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ashish</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Iran]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nuclear]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bomb]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EU]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fight]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Russia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://worldpoliticalblog.com/?p=232</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The nuclear ambitions of Iran well known, and the attempts by some of the significant world powers to stop these nuclear efforts (mostly in a futile effort) are also well known by now. Iran has most likely done the calculation that it will be able to pursue its nuclear quest through a measure of playing [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The nuclear ambitions of Iran well known, and the attempts by some of the significant world powers to stop these nuclear efforts (mostly in a futile effort) are also well known by now. Iran has most likely done the calculation that it will be able to pursue its nuclear quest through a measure of playing one country against another along with a dogged determination to go the full path. Further, given the difficult power structure of Iran where the Supreme Leader and the President both represent power centers, it is hard to figure out who is fully in command (although it is believed that in any decision making, the Supreme Leader will prevail; but the recent political chaos also showed that the President has cultivated the Revolutionary Guards and the military to get more power). Iran also believes that the only way for it to project itself as the natural leader of the region is to get nuclear weapons (especially since its given enemy, Israel, has nuclear weapons and advanced delivery systems). Iran also stands alone politically in the region (except for Iraq), since the other countries such as Saudi Arabia, UAE, Kuwait, etc, all are more or less against Iran (they are all Sunni countries while Iran is a Shia dominated country).</p>
<p><span id="more-232"></span><br />
And yet, the countries interacting with Iran over its nuclear stance (primarily the countries in the UN Security Council) are unable to make a decision on how to proceed. Iran has always had the stance that it is using nuclear energy for purposes of generating an alternative to fossil fuels for electricity, a stand that other countries refuse to buy, and yet this must be one of the longest running attempts to have a discussion (<a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&#038;sid=aIsy.rSB0ONc" target="_blank">link to article</a>): </p>
<blockquote><p>
The U.S. and European Union called for a meeting with Iran to discuss stalled nuclear talks, brushing aside the Persian Gulf country’s failure to mention the dispute over its atomic program in a proposal for negotiations. The EU request for a meeting came in response to the Iranian plan to tie any discussion of nuclear proliferation in the Middle East to talks on the future of the Palestinian people and changes in the structure of the United Nations Security Council.<br />
Iranian Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki presented a five-page document to China, France, Germany, Russia, the U.K. and U.S. in Tehran on Sept. 9. The proposals are a response to Western concern about the atomic work, said President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, who denies allegations by the U.S. and major allies that Iran’s nuclear-power development is cover for the production of weapons. Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei told worshippers in Tehran yesterday that Iran must “stand firm” in the nuclear dispute, saying it has the right to the technology, Agence France-Presse reported.
</p></blockquote>
<p>The members of the Security Council and the EU have not been able to come to an agreement about how to deal with Iran, given that Russia and China have not agreed with the western position. And of course, there is widespread problems even in the US, and the EU about trying to move ahead with a military and hard decision.</p>
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		<title>What does the Security Council do about the North Korean launch</title>
		<link>http://worldpoliticalblog.com/2009/04/07/what-does-the-security-council-do-about-the-north-korean-launch/</link>
		<comments>http://worldpoliticalblog.com/2009/04/07/what-does-the-security-council-do-about-the-north-korean-launch/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 07 Apr 2009 06:48:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ashish</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Japan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Missile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[North Korea]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nuclear]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rocket]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Russia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Discussion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sanctions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Satellite]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Security Council]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[South Korea]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://worldpoliticalblog.com/?p=173</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>By all projections, the North Korean attempt was to try to put a satellite into space (not a missile test as feared). However, it is also known that the North Koreans are using the same vehicle for both a rocket launch, and a missile launch (and that is one of the fundamental problems of space [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>By all projections, the North Korean attempt was to try to put a satellite into space (not a missile test as feared). However, it is also known that the North Koreans are using the same vehicle for both a rocket launch, and a missile launch (and that is one of the fundamental problems of space technology &#8211; a lot of the technology has dual applications); and so if the rocket had been successful, then that would also have been a validation of a missile with supposedly sufficient range to reach parts of the United States. This is a scary prospect, since the North Koreans have been suspected of working to miniaturize their nuclear device so as to form it to be a warhead capable of fitting onto a missile. Further, the North Koreans have been caught in the past of collaborating with other countries on both missile and nuclear technology. The rocket overflew Japan, but then failed, and there was no payload launched into orbit. At some point in the future, if they are allowed to advance, the North Koreans will be able to make sufficient advances.<br />
Unfortunately the North Koreans have not been susceptible to much pressure in the past (with China and Russia, key pressure capable nations, not willing to apply the required amount of pressure). They are already under United Nations sanctions for the previous nuclear test of 2006, and that does not seem to have much effect on the North Koreans; so the US is now worried about how to stop further work in this regard. Military threats also do not work since the North Koreans are capable of causing huge damage to Seoul, and maybe parts of Japan <a href="http://edition.cnn.com/2009/WORLD/asiapcf/04/06/un.nkorea/" target="_blank">(link to article)</a>:</p>
<p><span id="more-173"></span></p>
<blockquote><p>
The five permanent members of the U.N. Security Council and Japan met Monday for a second closed-door session to hammer out a response to North Korea&#8217;s weekend rocket launch in defiance of international opposition. But, as happened on Sunday following a called emergency session, there was no official statement from the council. Security Council Resolution 1718 was unanimously adopted in 2006, imposing a series of economic and commercial sanctions on North Korea. The resolution called for Pyongyang to conduct no further nuclear tests and to suspend all activities related to its ballistic missile program, including launches.<br />
However, not all Security Council members are onboard with Japan and the West. Russia and China are pushing for a technical assessment of the rocket launch before further actions are undertaken.<br />
Earlier Monday, Russian Ambassador Vitaly Churkin said it was important to avoid an &#8220;emotional knee-jerk reaction because what we do need is common strategy and not losing sight of the goal &#8212; and this is the denuclearization of the Korean peninsula.&#8221;
</p></blockquote>
<p>Russia and China are not fully behind the US and Japan in this area, partially because they do not quite like the concept of seeming to act to further the interests of the US. As a result, they will stick to the stand that if the North Koreans were seen to be launching a satellite, then there is no need to take any action.</p>
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		<title>Bush signs nuclear energy deal with India</title>
		<link>http://worldpoliticalblog.com/2008/10/09/bush-signs-nuclear-energy-deal-with-india/</link>
		<comments>http://worldpoliticalblog.com/2008/10/09/bush-signs-nuclear-energy-deal-with-india/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 09 Oct 2008 16:12:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ashish</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bush]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nuclear]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Treaty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://worldpoliticalblog.com/2008/10/09/bush-signs-nuclear-energy-deal-with-india/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>In a landmark deal that broke many facets of the international nuclear embargo on NPT (Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty) non-signatory nations, the US has finally signed a nuclear deal with India. This has been among the most heated and debated agreements in recent times. Part of a mission to make US-India ties closer, and to relax [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In a landmark deal that broke many facets of the international nuclear embargo on NPT (Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty) non-signatory nations, the US has finally signed a nuclear deal with India. This has been among the most heated and debated agreements in recent times. Part of a mission to make US-India ties closer, and to relax some of the restrictions on India in the nuclear area, the deal took a lot of diplomatic effort to get through, and the final legal step of the deal was signed in by President Bush. This last step was not necessary for India to go ahead with nuclear deals with other nations, but in light of the recent efforts by the US administration to push the deal, the Indian side decided to wait for the <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/south_asia/7660310.stm" target="_blank">US Congress approval</a>.</p>
<blockquote><p>
US President George W Bush has signed into law a nuclear deal with India, which ends a three-decade ban on US nuclear trade with Delhi. The landmark agreement was approved by the US Congress nearly a week ago. The deal will give India access to US civilian nuclear technology and fuel in return for inspections of its civilian, but not military, nuclear facilities. </p>
<p><span id="more-129"></span><br />
India says the accord is vital to meet its rising energy needs. Critics say it creates a dangerous precedent. They say it effectively allows India to expand its nuclear power industry without requiring it to sign the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) as other nations must. The US restricted nuclear co-operation with India after it tested a nuclear weapon in 1974.
</p></blockquote>
<p>The Indian side faced tremendous challenges in getting this deal through. The process was started by a discussion with the BJP ruled Indian Government and the Bush Administration, and was then negotiated by the Congress Government with the US Administration a couple of years back. The Indian Government was a minority Government, and dependent on the Communist Parties and many other parties. The Communist Parties, although against the nuclear policies of the Indian Government, have always despised a closer relationship with the United States and refused to flatly support such a policy, warning of a end to the Government (and since the Government was in a minority, an end seemed quite natural if their support ended).<br />
For a long time, it seemed that the Government had given up, after all the nuclear deal was not a vote-winner, the deal also seemed to be against the interests of the Muslim minority vote that the Congress wants, and so on. And then, after many months, Dr. Manmohan Singh finally decided that enough is enough; he literally forced the Government to agree to his stand that they back the deal; to the extent that manipulations were allowed in order to make sure that the Government retained a majority in Parliament.<br />
Getting the deal through the Nuclear Suppliers Group was another difficult task. There were many nations wedded to the cause of denial of technology to anybody who had not signed upto the NPT, and it required intensive effort by the US to get the group to agree. China in the end tried to prod other nations, but the US pressure (and a small amount of Indian pressure) was enough to get the member to eventually agree, even though it was totally under pressure.<br />
The United States also had to face opposition internally, both within the Administration, and outside in the strategic community; people were reluctant to approve any exemptions to the NPT; thought was that this gave India the right to use its uranium resources to push its military weapons program; also that this gave the wrong signal to others such as Iran and Pakistan.<br />
Overall, this deal will provide a vast impetus to the nuclear energy commercial business; with India planning a large number of reactors to meet a portion of its energy needs, a number of companies worldwide will benefit. </p>
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		<title>North Korea again threatens to go nuclear</title>
		<link>http://worldpoliticalblog.com/2008/09/24/north-korea-again-threatens-to-go-nuclear/</link>
		<comments>http://worldpoliticalblog.com/2008/09/24/north-korea-again-threatens-to-go-nuclear/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 24 Sep 2008 16:43:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ashish</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Dictator]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[North Korea]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nuclear]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://worldpoliticalblog.com/2008/09/24/north-korea-again-threatens-to-go-nuclear/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The North Koreans must be the one set of negotiators who have caused the Bush Administration the maximum problems. When the Bush Administration came to power 8 long years ago, they heavily criticized the deal that the Clinton administration made with the North Koreans where the North Koreans agreed to cap their nuclear activities in [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The North Koreans must be the one set of negotiators who have caused the Bush Administration the maximum problems. When the Bush Administration came to power 8 long years ago, they heavily criticized the deal that the Clinton administration made with the North Koreans where the North Koreans agreed to cap their nuclear activities in exchange for more facilities and guarantees of energy. When the Bush Administration came to power, they announced that the world has changed, states that stand against the US will not be treated lightly, and they will be the one that bring the North Koreans to heel. And then 9/11 happened; the Bush administration got rid of the Afghan Taleban and Saddam Hussein in Iraq, but North Korea still remains as unpredictable as ever.<br />
As per North Korea, the current situation has arisen because the previous agreement where North Korea will be taken off the list of nations that support terrorism has not been followed, and hence it is reverting back to having an <a href="http://edition.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/asiapcf/09/24/nkorea.nuclear.plant/?iref=mpstoryview" target="_blank">ongoing nuclear program</a>: </p>
<p><span id="more-117"></span></p>
<blockquote><p>
North Korea has made another move toward possibly restarting its suspended nuclear program, the U.N. nuclear agency reports.  At the reclusive nation&#8217;s request, the International Atomic Energy Agency has removed surveillance equipment and seals from the Yongbyon nuclear facility, agency spokeswoman Melissa Fleming said. The move clears the way for North Korea to reintroduce nuclear material to the facility. The North has told the IAEA that it will do that in a week or so.<br />
Last week, a South Korean news agency reported that North Korea was restoring a reactor at Yongbyon nuclear complex and no longer wanted to be removed from a U.S. list of countries that sponsor terrorism. But a senior U.S. diplomat has said the announcement could simply be a bargaining ploy in the long-running negotiations. The U.S. had seen no indications North Korea was actually rebuilding its reactor, the diplomat said. North Korea had agreed to disable the Yongbyon nuclear complex by October in exchange for a pledge from the U.S. to lift some sanctions and remove North Korea from a list of countries that sponsor terrorism.
</p></blockquote>
<p>When dealing with the North Koreans, it sometimes seems that the Bush Administration is all at sea. In the midst of the attempts by the Bush Administration (and the 6 nation effort) to try to cap the North Korean nuclear efforts, the North Koreans blew a hole into this effort and tested a nuclear bomb, becoming a declared nuclear bomb. One can only wonder what the North Koreans will do next, especially when it is not clear who the current leadership of North Korea actually is.</p>
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		<title>Pakistani nuclear weapons and the US</title>
		<link>http://worldpoliticalblog.com/2007/08/12/pakistani-nuclear-weapons-and-the-us/</link>
		<comments>http://worldpoliticalblog.com/2007/08/12/pakistani-nuclear-weapons-and-the-us/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 12 Aug 2007 18:33:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ashish</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Afghanistan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bush]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dictator]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Military]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nuclear]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Taleban]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Terrorism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://worldpoliticalblog.com/2007/08/12/pakistani-nuclear-weapons-and-the-us/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Seems like a strange topic, given that Pakistan is an independent country, and well within its rights to have a transition in whatever way in the wake of President Musharraf departing his presidency in any manner, coup, assassination, or any other way. However, in the wake of the campaign to make the army more Islamic, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Seems like a strange topic, given that Pakistan is an independent country, and well within its rights to have a transition in whatever way in the wake of President Musharraf departing his presidency in any manner, coup, assassination, or any other way. However, in the wake of the campaign to make the army more Islamic, something that was started by the coup-leader, General Zia, there are grave doubts about what will happen to these weapons.<br />
Why is the US so interested in what happens to Pakistan&#8217;s nuclear weapons ? It is not only nuclear weapons, but the whole technology involved, including blueprints, plans, material, scientists, etc who are involved. And right next to Pakistan, in fact, within Pakistan, in the Waziristan region bordering Afghanistan, is the force who are the most targeted group of people, people that the US would do anything to capture or kill. Due to the former agreement Pakistan had signed with the Taleban in these regions, it was made very easy for the Taleban to re-group, and for the leaders of Al-Qaeda to group there and plan further action against the US and other Western countries.<br />
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Maybe in order to take much more severe action against the militants, and to stave off wide-spread and growing public resentment against him, the President tried to impose emergency, but was in effect vetoed by the US. Pakistan is very dependent on the US right now for support, and maybe as long as Musharraf has promised to take action, the US will not act against him. But there can be no doubt that the US will not tolerate at any level the leakage of any of this technology to the Taleban, even if they have to send in special units to retrieve or destroy. <a href="http://edition.cnn.com/2007/US/08/10/pakistan.nuclear/index.html" target="_blank">Refer this story</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>
U.S. military intelligence officials are urgently assessing how secure Pakistan&#8217;s nuclear weapons would be in the event President Gen. Pervez Musharraf were replaced as the nation&#8217;s leader, CNN has learned. Key questions in the assessment include who would control Pakistan&#8217;s nuclear weapons after a shift in power.<br />
The United States has full knowledge about the location of Pakistan&#8217;s nuclear weapons, according to the U.S. assessment. But the key questions, officials say, are what would happen and who would control the weapons in the hours after any change in government in case Musharraf were killed or overthrown.<br />
Musharraf controls the loyalty of the commanders and senior officials in charge of the nuclear program, but those loyalties could shift at any point, officials say. The United States is not certain who might start controlling nuclear launch codes and weapons if that shift in power were to happen. There is also a growing understanding according to the U.S. analysis that Musharraf&#8217;s control over the military remains limited to certain top commanders and units, raising worries about whether he can maintain control over the long term.
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<p>This is a very serious issue. The US takes the matter of its security against nuclear threat very seriously, and no one should be surprised if the US already has some sort of control over the Pakistani nuclear facilities. In 2001, the US had threatened Pakistan if it did not withdraw support from the Taleban, and the same set of actors are still there on the stage; both President Bush and President Musharraf are in the same positions, and it is easy to believe that the US still has the same set of influence on Pakistan.</p>
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